Writing between the first and second rounds of the French presidential elections, some comment on the performance of Marine Le Pen and the FN are in order. Although the FN is running its strongest candidate ever, Le Pen has somewhat underperformed the polls in the first round and seems destined to lose in the second round. Although it would seem to be a contrast between with Brexit and the election of Trump, it is actually not so – for a reason. Le Pen, like Trump, has already sidelined the traditional right and left from the election. The establishment has already thrown all its eggs into one candidate, Macron, whose presidency is doomed to fail. It has become clear who the real opposition is.
It is in June’s legislative elections that the establishment parties will be more divided and the FN’s breakthrough will truly be, a breakthrough that will have the power to stand in the way of Macron’s agenda. After the failure of Macron will be the time for the FN to truly rise.